“Brexit is now the base case,” said Matthew Sherwood, head of investment strategy at Perpetual Ltd. in Sydney, which manages about $21 billion. “Investors are just trying to get out. You sell first and ask questions later. There was a massive miscalculation of risk and now you’re seeing all that unwind.”
The debate over the U.K.’s EU membership has dominated investor sentiment in June, with appetite for riskier assets having built up over the past week as bookmakers’ odds suggested the chance of a so-called Brexit was less than one in four. The probability jumped as high as 87 percent amid the initial wave of results, Oddschecker data show. Central banks and governments have warned a British withdrawal from the EU would hurt global economic growth and trigger volatility in financial markets.
CurrenciesThe pound was down 9 percent at $1.3538 as of 12:23 p.m. in Tokyo. It climbed above $1.50 for the first time since December in early trading before sliding as low as $1.3467, its weakest level since 1985.The euro slumped 3.1 percent, while currencies in Norway, Sweden and Turkey posted even steeper losses. South Africa’s rand tumbled 5.8 percent, leading declines in emerging markets.Japan’s currency surged 5.8 percent versus the dollar. Against the pound, it jumped by a record 12 percent.StocksFutures on the FTSE 100 sank 7.5 percent, while contracts on the S&P 500 were down 3.2 percent. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index declined 1.6 percent, with Japan’s Topix falling 3.2 percent. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index lost 3 percent as benchmarks retreated across the region.British insurer Prudential Plc plunged 10 percent in Hong Kong. HSBC Holdings Plc, the U.K.’s biggest lender, and Standard Chartered Plc slid more than 8 percent.CommoditiesCrude oil tumbled as much as 5.5 percent in New York, sliding below $48 a barrel. Copper and nickel dropped more than 2 percent in London.Gold jumped as much as 4 percent and was headed for its highest close since August 2014.
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